Weekly Market Summary 8-15-25: 

 This week, the market delivered a mix of clean divergence opportunities and sessions of choppy indecision. Volatility divergences continued to drive the most reliable trades, but patience was essential as many setups peaked quickly and others failed to materialize.

Key Highlights

• SPY Midday Divergence: A 15-minute divergence produced 9–14x returns on low-cost put options, with peak gains coming within a few hours of entry.

• Russell 2000 Leadership: Once again, IWM offered the strongest follow-through, hitting 13x returns on well-timed entries.

• Patience on Choppy Days: On some sessions, setups never fully aligned — reinforcing that no trade is often the best trade.

Market Trends

Volatility: Double-top and double-bottom divergences remained the clearest triggers, especially during the first and last 2 hours of the trading day.

Performance: Russell 2000 consistently provided the strongest setups. SPY and QQQ mirrored each other, often moving in sync, while individual stocks were less attractive due to poor option pricing.

Best Trades of the Week

• SPY Puts: Entered at $0.10, surged to $1.40 (~14x return) before settling back at ~$0.90.

• Russell 2000 Calls: Options bought for $0.05 ran up to $0.65–$0.70 (~13x return) after a midday reversal.

• QQQ Puts: Small but consistent gains (~5x returns) with divergences lining up alongside SPY.

Trading Philosophy

• Volatility Divergences Drive Results: Aligning price with volatility missteps remains the fastest path to outsized returns.

• Small Bets, Big Multiples: Options under $0.10 frequently exploded into 5–14x winners within hours.

• Know When to Sit Out: Confusing or mixed signals are best ignored — avoiding bad trades is as important as catching great ones.

Looking Ahead

Stay focused on Russell 2000 and SPY as they continue to provide the clearest setups. Expect sharp moves in the first and last trading hours, with patience required in between. Look for volatility divergences as the highest-confidence entry signals.

P.S. Five times your money is great — repeat it consistently, and compounding takes care of the rest.

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