The UVXY tells usĀ  there's money to be made

Uncategorized Sep 14, 2023

 

 Dale tweeted about the September 5, 2023 action on UVXY

 "See, you cannot WAIT for the price to move! You’ve got to believe in the charts and what they say about the price! Does it belong higher or lower? Not, where it is!! What did the 30 min UVXY chart say yesterday late in the day?? Did the lower time frames confirm it???"

 

 

UVXY began moving up sharply the last hour of the trading day 09.05/23. We know this increase in volatility can lead to a fall in the markets. In that last hour of trading, SPY began moving down.

 

 

Selecting OTM Puts on SPY expiring on 09/06/23, the 443 Puts could be picked up for @2c late on 09/05/23 or early on 09/06/23. These Puts moved up to @30c exit within 3 hours for 10x your money.

 

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Even on quiet market days there's money to be made

Uncategorized Jul 21, 2023

Take July 19, 2023. On the 15-minute chart of the UVXY, the technical picture had been getting higher while the price was generally lower. Notice the early precipitous climb in UVXY as a consequence of the early trading on 7/19/23. 

This picture suggests increased volatility and an opportunity for us to look at puts on the major market ETFs during the morning of 7/19/23. Looking at the QQQ during that morning period, the pattern is not perfect but there is a definite divergence in place on the MACD. 

Nimble traders buying the QQQ 383 calls expiring that day, 7/19, could be had for around 7c. Exit within 60 - 75 minutes for around 30c. for 4 times your money. Not our best pattern ever but still not bad.

  You can see later that same day that the MACD fell in line with the move down on the QQQ and our puts gained in value. Once we exited as technicals turned around, you can clearly see MACD failed to break the Signal Line and turned back down at the end...

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Why do we watch the UVXY in MACD Divergence

Uncategorized Jun 05, 2023
The UVXY, or ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF is more sensitive than the VIX and really designed to track short-term volatility in the S&P 500 Index. The sensitivity is a consequence of its 1.5x leverage. This makes it ideal for the Options Hunter MACD Divergence trading strategy.
 
This instrument gives us a warning on potential changes in the direction of SPY. Together with the MACD divergences on our shorter time frames the UVXY provides  another tool for us to find OTM options with divergences on the shorter-term time frames.
 
Here are a couple of charts from May 30, 2023. These 10-minute charts of UVXY and SPY show the extra lift the change in direction on UVXY brings to the SPY.
 
 
Want to learn more? Check out this
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The markets are at a pivotal point - Join Dale live for 2 days

Uncategorized May 29, 2023

The markets are at a pivotal point this summer 

The bear market on the NASDAQ is still in place, the recent rally has been all tech and mostly 8 stocks. 

 The Dow barely hit bear territory and is only 10% from it's previous high.

 Meanwhile, the Russell 2000 is performing much worse. 

 Earnings are all over the map, and geopolitical events are skewing everything, and driving spurts of volatility. 

Can we take advantage of these events?

YES. It's not the events themselves we care about. We want the volatility these events bring to us, and to use our Options Hunter strategy to leverage that volatility.

 This July is your opportunity to be in the midst of events by joining Dale in his Live Trading Hours Zoom session July 12 - 13, 2023 

 Immersive, interactive, and intense, these sessions have been oversubscribed in January and April. Seats have suddenly started to fill up for the July event. We don't want you to miss out.

 

...

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UVXY classic Volatility Setup

Uncategorized Mar 19, 2023

Check out this powerful hourly chart on the UVXY, the volatility ETF. A powerful divergence to the downside, indicating Volatility was about to head down, and of course, the markets were going to head up. 

 This event occurred after 4 hours of trading Wednesday, March 15, 2023. The same pattern was clear on the 2 hourly charts and gave us confidence that the trade could last longer than if this had been on a short time frame like 15 minutes.

 As expected the SPY was showing the opposite of UVXY, indicating a potential move to the upside 4 hours into the trading day.

The SPY 392 Calls expiring Wednesday, March 15th, despite only a few hours until expiration, could have been had for @5c and rose to a high of 50c within 45 minutes. 

The strength of the UVXY hourly and 2 hourly divergence drove the SPY higher into the next trading day, March 16th. The SPY call options expiring the 16th, for example, the 395 calls could have been had for 5c and rose to...

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UVXY classic Volatility Setup

Uncategorized Mar 10, 2023

Look at that second hour of trading on Thursday, a powerful divergence to the upside on UVXY on the hourly chart, indicating Volatility was about to head up, and of course, the markets were going to head down.

By late Friday the UVXY had risen over 50%

That powerful upside divergence on UVXY gives us confidence that the markets like SPY are likely to move lower. Here you can see SPY moved down from the 400 level to 386 rapidly over the 2 days.

The SPY 388 Puts expiring on Friday March 10th were one of many OTM options available that Thursday morning. On Thursday the 8c option rose to around $2. On Friday as high as $3.95.

Spend 2 days with Dale and live market action

 April 5 and 6, 2023

Focus on SPY and QQQ options

 PLEASE NOTE: We're limiting the number of attendees

Don't hesitate or you'll miss out.

 

Limited Seats Low Price Revealed at https://www.theoptionshunter.com/zoomlivetrading

Before Mid-November 2022, we could only trade QQQ and...

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4c to $4 in 90 minutes SPY calls February 7, 2023

Uncategorized Feb 09, 2023

On February 7th we watched the SPY move up strongly to a high of 415 around 9.30 am PST (12.30 eastern) before falling back rapidly to 408. During this period the MACD diverged to the upside. The MACD indicated prices should be nearer 412. As we have options expiring today on SPY we can look for an out-of-the-money option under 10c a contract.

With only 3 hours remaining in the trading day, this trade will be very short-term. The nearest out-of-the-money option expiring February 7, 2023, and with a price under 10c was the 412 call with an entry around 4c.

Entering the trade at 11.10 am PST, 90 minutes later the option was trading above $4

 How do we do this?

The Options Hunter strategy focuses on divergencies between the MACD and the price movements of the underlying ticker. We don't include other indicators such as RSI, Stochastics, or Bollinger bands as our approach is kept simple, straightforward, and repeatable.

The main difference between weekly and...

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We spotted this February 2, 2023 SPY divergence winner

Uncategorized Feb 06, 2023

On February 2, 2023, the 15-minute chart of SPY was headed to a new high of around 418 at 11:00 am PST. the MACD was diverging down strongly indicating prices should be nearer 412. As we have options expiring today on SPY we can look for an out-of-the-money option under 10c a contract.

 With only 2 1/2 hours remaining in the trading day, this trade will be very short-term. The nearest out-of-the-money option expiring February 2, 2023, and with a price under 10c was the 410 put with an entry around 3c.

Entering the trade at 11.10 am PST, we rode this up to around 18c before exiting after 40 minutes for 6x your money. 

How do we do this?

The Options Hunter strategy focuses on divergencies between the MACD and the price movements of the underlying ticker. We don't include other indicators such as RSI, Stochastics, or Bollinger bands as our approach is kept simple, straightforward, and repeatable.

The main difference between weekly and monthly options is their...

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The hourly upside divergence on January 18 on the UVXY and matching downside divergences in every major index

Uncategorized Jan 23, 2023

Well, the markets did what I expected! How about you? The hourly upside divergence on January 18 on the UVXY and matching downside divergences in every major index has led to a great move that takes the pressure off from only looking at short-term charts!

Here's the clear divergence and double bottom on UVXY hourly completing at the first hour of trading on January 18, 2023

The SPY showed a divergence in the opposite direction with the increased volatility.

Looking at Out-of-the-money puts expiring the same day January 18, 2023, the 392 Puts were as low as 4c after the first hour of trading and reached over 50c in 2 hours.

 

The Options Hunter approach focuses on divergences between the MACD and the price action. We don’t employ other indicators such as RSI, Stochastics, or Bollinger bands as we keep our approach simple, straightforward, and repeatable

 

What are Weekly Options and Why Do I use them?

Weekly options are a great way to make money, but...

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Quick profit SPY 10/221/2022 - then a rentry

Uncategorized Oct 24, 2022

If you're like us, and watching the SPY intraday, you will have seen this one on Friday 10/21/2022. The first 15 minutes of the trading day gave us this MACD divergence. At this timeframe, nimble traders took a chunk of  change on call options.

 

As usual we look for out of the money options, with low premiums (expiring on the same day 10/21/2022), and trading at 10c or under.

We found the SPY 374 calls, expiring 10/21/2022 with premium at 10c, and entered the position.  Within 25 minutes the price shot up to over 50c. A quick exit netted us 4 times our money as the lower timeframe MACD turned down.

If you took your eyes off the ball you'd have given back half this gain within 40 minutes of entry.

Not a bad start for a Friday. A possible rentry can be seen below on the same 15 minute chart when the MACD turns back up. The same 374 calls were trading around 6c this time. 

The calls were over 1.00 later in the day, although exiting on pullbacks would likely...

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