At 1:45pm eastern on June 12 the 5 minute chart on VXX made its way to the high it had reached 2 3/4 hours earlier, but we were concentrating on the MACD indicator. The MACD had a clear divergence indicating that the price action on VXX shouldn't be at $45 but more like $40 or lower based on the slope of the MACD peaks
As predicted the price dropped to below $40. this powerful move down is often reflected with a reverse MACD divergence up on the SPY. In this instance as the chart below clearly shows, there was not one in the offering. So we went back and looked at the VXX puts for big gains on the near term OTM options.
So, I'm sure there are many option traders, who are now at home and working, maybe even have a full house of family members. My commitments used to disqualify me from doing intraday options trading, not any more, now I'm trading on intraday charts looking for MACD divergences and double tops and bottoms like the Options Hunter does.
I'm no Dale Wheatley, I'm still learning and cautious with my trades but I can tell you for a fact that this strategy works for me, it really does.The daily chart of BA had a strong MACD up that really gave the confirmation of the 5 minute divergence Dale looks for.
This is a daily chart with a clearly defined UPSIDE DIVERGENCE on VXX, the Fear Index. The time between the first price bottom to the second one, when the divergence occurred, was approximately one month, from late Jan through late Feb 2020.
That suggested the up move in VXX and down moves in the major markets and component stocks should last approximately 1 month before the MACD begins to stabilize. Around March 18-20, 2020.
The lower time frames on VXX started showing MACD rolling over and some Downside Divergences, the SPY, QQQ, IWM, XLE, SMH, XLF and most major component stocks then began showing UPSIDE divergences
producing huge returns on OTM calls.
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Aug 30, Nice topping pattern formid on UPS with downside MACD divergence that said prices should be around $115. this slower mover meant the best pick was sept 6 117 puts at 69c. Sep 3 took some off the the table at 85% gain let the rest go a bit more: took the rest off too for 85% gain. things may go lower but its a short week and these expire in 3 days
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