In many of our nightly updates we talk about the inverse relationship between the VXX, an ETF proxy for the Volatility Index and the market proxy SPY. A divergent MACD up or down in either frequently coincide with the opposite divergence in the other. As you can see from this overlay chart, the two ticker do indeed inverse each other.
The hourly chart of SPY is overlaid with the hourly chart of VXX, notice the double top in VXX at the same time as the double bottom in SPY
Alaskan Air Soars
We were all watching ALK after Tuesday's class. The divergence was a classic setup on daily charts on September 21, 2017.
By September 25, 2017 things were moving and those OTM options were locking in great gains. The Options Hunter tweet again reiterating the strength in airlines.
It was September 27th and The Options Hunters tweet says it all
We’ve been watching the Weekly MACD Divergence on SPY setup for months. By mid-Feb the MACD was already signaling something was up. Then Mid-May SPY hit a new high, and where was the MACD? EVEN lower then the mid-Feb level. We played these divergences and we knew when the lower time frames started to diverged too, that the timing was right to make mega bucks in out of the money puts.
In this 90 minute video edited from a recent Options Hunter live webinar, Dale Wheatley takes us through a daily routine using mostly daily price charts.
He starts with major indices and ETFs then moves on to the Dow 30 stocks. When there are no patterns within the major markets or ETFs, there are often patterns in the Dow 30 stocks. These stocks represent a cross-section of industries and chart patterns can often set up in industries independent of the major markets.
He rejects charts that are not clearly distinguishable or have confusing patterns to focus in on clear patterns with divergences. Dale also provides an in-depth look at AAPL in June 2017 and potential trades that triggered.
Bullish MACD divergence occurred on the 30-minute chart on IWM. Divergences occur in all timeframes and the decision to trade is based on the traders' Timeframe.
1. At 10:24am subscribers received the first warning
2. At 10:39am subscribers received the second tweet highlighting the strengthening pattern and divergence
3. Here’s the 3 min divergence. Remember you first heard about this at 10:24am
4. The pressure of the MACD divergence forces the prices back up, as the MACD turns back up at around 10:34am that’s the time to buy OTM puts.
5. 200% in 9 minutes, remember that first tweet at 10:24am warning you this was coming?
200% in 9 minutes trading SPY options. Find out how you can do this. http://bit.ly/2obxEXw
I know you’ve heard the story before, but I wanted to make sure everyone understands how the MACD divergence works. If you’re going to trade the lower time frames, you know the 1 minute, 5 minute, 15 minute etc, you’ve gotta be there to see the setups and you MUST trade quickly. These setups don’t last very long. They can be huge and if the higher time frames all line up it can be even more powerful.
So if you were watching the lower time frames on the SPY toward the end of the day on Tuesday 2/28/2017 you’d have noticed this MACD divergence setting up on the 5 minute charts. The slope of the MACD shows us prices should be higher.
Within 15 minutes out of the money calls on SPY expiring March 3, 2017 would have netted you a nice gain. You could have exited the trade just before the end of the day and walked away. But if you’d held these options overnight…….
The Trump effect? Probably. The out of the money options from the...
December 2016, the Options Hunter weekly members live webinar highlighted the ongoing divergence on MACD 4 days before the start of 2017. Our divergence analysis revealed the gold mining stocks were ready to soar. Out of the money options on stocks like GG soared 100s and even 1000s of percent on December 28 and 29. We warned you